Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.542070 3.762258 3.998291 4.271789 4.582132 4.926002 5.339637
2025-07-27 3.370848 3.698533 4.072653 4.538532 5.113926 5.817155 6.769197
2025-08-03 3.188779 3.587742 4.066659 4.700370 5.545271 6.682032 8.432518
2025-08-10 2.961713 3.391123 3.925331 4.664946 5.712430 7.241702 9.901034
2025-08-17 2.716703 3.145018 3.690145 4.467738 5.615668 7.394291 10.801864
2025-08-24 2.543824 2.974114 3.533197 4.353131 5.612832 7.685357 12.100922
2025-08-31 2.426192 2.864307 3.445394 4.322038 5.726674 8.196655 14.187066
2025-09-07 2.302272 2.736472 3.320752 4.220265 5.706974 8.459508 15.916117
2025-09-14 2.189321 2.615974 3.196645 4.105144 5.645143 8.623382 17.558229
2025-09-21 2.086782 2.503811 3.076495 3.984144 5.554736 8.705671 19.079974
2025-09-28 2.031450 2.453411 3.041167 3.992265 5.694774 9.331728 23.634155
2025-10-05 2.030429 2.477957 3.115814 4.184057 6.210684 11.070576 40.042582
2025-10-12 1.988408 2.447869 3.115513 4.267310 6.570153 12.761639 82.427582
2025-10-19 1.975340 2.459289 3.180536 4.475552 7.264589 16.264415 NaN
2025-10-26 1.942603 2.439791 3.195688 4.597668 7.815869 20.263432 NaN
2025-11-02 1.877758 2.368579 3.122251 4.543370 7.917416 22.453999 NaN
2025-11-09 1.790772 2.260032 2.981457 4.344502 7.594150 21.791828 NaN
2025-11-16 1.725519 2.182027 2.887087 4.229548 7.482299 22.511025 NaN
2025-11-23 1.680003 2.132179 2.836432 4.196559 7.593489 25.152960 NaN
2025-11-30 1.626103 2.067256 2.757040 4.098180 7.496738 26.109842 NaN
2025-12-07 1.573517 2.002528 2.674985 3.987995 7.346327 26.459821 NaN
2025-12-14 1.523034 1.939470 2.593149 3.872637 7.163011 26.325389 NaN
2025-12-21 1.496509 1.912633 2.571399 3.879985 7.357958 30.896580 NaN